Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.052722 0.057256 0.061848 0.066838 0.072101 0.077479 0.083384
2025-03-16 0.047608 0.054442 0.061603 0.069637 0.078370 0.087550 0.097902
2025-03-23 0.042954 0.051449 0.060619 0.071192 0.082982 0.095663 0.110274
2025-03-30 0.038971 0.048702 0.059496 0.072244 0.086775 0.102714 0.121408
2025-04-06 0.035054 0.045622 0.057650 0.072175 0.089065 0.107916 0.130375
2025-04-13 0.032795 0.044231 0.057539 0.073917 0.093281 0.115206 0.141663
2025-04-20 0.029579 0.041417 0.055514 0.073203 0.094470 0.118894 0.148736
2025-04-27 0.027325 0.039596 0.054519 0.073571 0.096814 0.123838 0.157212
2025-05-04 0.025833 0.038609 0.054440 0.074957 0.100308 0.130096 0.167218
2025-05-11 0.024871 0.038219 0.055036 0.077124 0.104720 0.137440 0.178536
2025-05-18 0.021974 0.035083 0.051976 0.074564 0.103199 0.137558 0.181149
2025-05-25 0.020221 0.033371 0.050651 0.074104 0.104201 0.140671 0.187321
2025-06-01 0.018556 0.031715 0.049363 0.073690 0.105298 0.143979 0.193868
2025-06-08 0.018037 0.031652 0.050190 0.076037 0.109924 0.151691 0.205880
2025-06-15 0.017197 0.031066 0.050265 0.077365 0.113239 0.157791 0.215954
2025-06-22 0.016295 0.030328 0.050083 0.078316 0.116050 0.163264 0.225280
2025-06-29 0.015109 0.029082 0.049125 0.078162 0.117380 0.166849 0.232255
2025-07-06 0.014615 0.028867 0.049607 0.079961 0.121281 0.173713 0.243376
2025-07-13 0.013400 0.027436 0.048269 0.079187 0.121720 0.176127 0.248881
2025-07-20 0.012601 0.026620 0.047783 0.079565 0.123675 0.180479 0.256844
2025-07-27 0.012151 0.026345 0.048074 0.081023 0.127082 0.186715 0.267229
2025-08-03 0.011942 0.026459 0.048943 0.083308 0.131625 0.194457 0.279584
2025-08-10 0.010511 0.024384 0.046399 0.080605 0.129278 0.193139 0.280269